Demographic constitution, boon or a bane?
"Too much of anything is good for nothing.” isn't it?
So, are we excess in population or can India still support the burgeoning population growth? If we are in excess, then as per the above saying, it should be a bane rather than a boon.
But, nowadays, why are we boasting about it? Because, everyone is speaking about the demographic constitution of our population. As of today, around 30-40% of our population is around the 30 years of age which happens to be the best for any working group. And if the same growth trend continues the same demography is going to become 50%, i.e. 50% of our population would around the age of 25-30.
Imagine the numbers!! By 2050, if the same growth trend continues, the population would certainly reach the figure of around 2 billion. And hence there will be around 1 billion people ready to jump upon the work. Everyone understands the benefits of it, as India is poised to become the biggest market with huge opportunities onboard.
At the same time, with the already declining population growth rate and population as well, China would be reeling under crisis because only less than 25% of its work force would be in the working group, and more than 30% would be of the age greater than 60. The situation of US will be worse than this.
So, going by the numbers India should be the destination for any activity calling for manual efforts.
So, it certainly looks like an advantage for India. But, is it really? Let us go a bit further.
What does this 30% constitute of? Skilled or unskilled labor? This is the biggest problem involved in this tricky 30% number.
Already, all the IT companies are complaining about the lack of quality work force, because of which they are being forced to invest around 3-6 months of training which is costing them millions. Added to that, the so called skilled labor which is mostly concentrated in the Southern part of the nation seems to be heading for a declining growth rate. Hence the increase in the population growth rate is because of the unskilled and illiterate labor force. So, at the first analysis, it seems quite evident that this 30% population might be actually only 30% of skilled labor and 70% unskilled labor.
But, even this is a big number, because 30% of 30% of 2 billion is 180 million.
One might argue that the labor force might suffice for the labor force across the world and India becomes a supplier of potential immigrants. Sounds good...again at the first glance...But when thought about it further, does this labor force have enough physical stamina to do the required job. India along with the increasing population is going to become no.1 in terms of the sick population as well. So, this population is actually a burden than becoming a source of income. So, our work force again is going to face some problems.
Even if I ignore all the above mentioned, does India have enough resources to cater to its entire people. Does it have the infrastructure to carry these people along with? Most of our cities are reeling under power, water, and civic services scarcity. With the ever increasing difference between demand and supply, can India survive? Or is it only that the skilled work force who can afford all these be able to survive.
So, going by Darwin, it calls for the annihilation of the major work force across India, because by that time much of the population will no longer be able to afford even the basic necessities and hence cease to exist.
Hey, did I move away from the topic of Demographic constitution to over population...Looks like that, but in fact the problems are intertwining, and are applicable to this topic as well!!
Thin about it... Still is the demographic constitution boon or bane?
So, are we excess in population or can India still support the burgeoning population growth? If we are in excess, then as per the above saying, it should be a bane rather than a boon.
But, nowadays, why are we boasting about it? Because, everyone is speaking about the demographic constitution of our population. As of today, around 30-40% of our population is around the 30 years of age which happens to be the best for any working group. And if the same growth trend continues the same demography is going to become 50%, i.e. 50% of our population would around the age of 25-30.
Imagine the numbers!! By 2050, if the same growth trend continues, the population would certainly reach the figure of around 2 billion. And hence there will be around 1 billion people ready to jump upon the work. Everyone understands the benefits of it, as India is poised to become the biggest market with huge opportunities onboard.
At the same time, with the already declining population growth rate and population as well, China would be reeling under crisis because only less than 25% of its work force would be in the working group, and more than 30% would be of the age greater than 60. The situation of US will be worse than this.
So, going by the numbers India should be the destination for any activity calling for manual efforts.
So, it certainly looks like an advantage for India. But, is it really? Let us go a bit further.
What does this 30% constitute of? Skilled or unskilled labor? This is the biggest problem involved in this tricky 30% number.
Already, all the IT companies are complaining about the lack of quality work force, because of which they are being forced to invest around 3-6 months of training which is costing them millions. Added to that, the so called skilled labor which is mostly concentrated in the Southern part of the nation seems to be heading for a declining growth rate. Hence the increase in the population growth rate is because of the unskilled and illiterate labor force. So, at the first analysis, it seems quite evident that this 30% population might be actually only 30% of skilled labor and 70% unskilled labor.
But, even this is a big number, because 30% of 30% of 2 billion is 180 million.
One might argue that the labor force might suffice for the labor force across the world and India becomes a supplier of potential immigrants. Sounds good...again at the first glance...But when thought about it further, does this labor force have enough physical stamina to do the required job. India along with the increasing population is going to become no.1 in terms of the sick population as well. So, this population is actually a burden than becoming a source of income. So, our work force again is going to face some problems.
Even if I ignore all the above mentioned, does India have enough resources to cater to its entire people. Does it have the infrastructure to carry these people along with? Most of our cities are reeling under power, water, and civic services scarcity. With the ever increasing difference between demand and supply, can India survive? Or is it only that the skilled work force who can afford all these be able to survive.
So, going by Darwin, it calls for the annihilation of the major work force across India, because by that time much of the population will no longer be able to afford even the basic necessities and hence cease to exist.
Hey, did I move away from the topic of Demographic constitution to over population...Looks like that, but in fact the problems are intertwining, and are applicable to this topic as well!!
Thin about it... Still is the demographic constitution boon or bane?
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